In 2005 Stanford School of Medicine’s Dr. John P.A. Ioannidis wrote in his PloS Medicine article “Why Most
Published Research Findings Are False”, “There is increasing concern that in modern research, false
findings may be the majority or even the vast majority of published research
claims.” Unreliable research and irreproducible
data have been the status quo of scientific research since inception as Scientific American guest blogger Jared
Horvath says in his blog post “The Replication
Myth: Shedding Light on One of Science’s Dirty Little Secrets”, alluding to
iconic scientists like Galileo, Dalton, Milikan, etc. But as time passes more
attention is focused on the flaws in publication systems. The problem starts in the laboratory but more rigorous
journal scrutiny can help halt insufficient publications. Recently, editors and publishers of more than
thirty major journals, including Science
and Nature, proposed new standards to
improve reproducibility, focusing on biomedical research.
In research,
reproducibility is the gold standard but it’s unattainable because, as
Ioannidis put it, “a major
problem is that it is impossible to know with 100% certainty what the truth is
in any research question.” However, the
unity of publishers is promising and the proposed new standards can improve the
quality of the studies. Rigorous
statistical analysis, transparency in method and data reporting, consideration
of refutation, and guidelines for image based data and more detailed biological
material description can help the interpretation and reproducibility of
published data.
Statistical analysis and accuracy
in published articles have in part been faulty due to lacking statistical literacy
in scientific fields. Ioannidis criticizes
the notion of single studies assessment by formal statistical significance,
usually p-value less than 0.05, in medical research articles contributing
to non-replicable data. P-value help researcher determine the
significance of their results in hypothesis-based testing, and when it is less
than 0.05 the null hypothesis is rejected, concluding the existence of a
relationship or phenomena. In Nature’s
2013 “Announcement: Reducing out irreproducibility” they brought attention to
the low number of “biologists receiv[ing] adequate training in statistics and
other quantitative aspects of their subject.”
Therefore, their new standards will encourage researchers to closely examine
statistics and transparency by providing checklists and by consulting
statisticians on certain papers at editors’ discretion.
The
checklist will also encourage authors to disclose technical information and
experiment description in full. For an animal
experiment, for example, authors will be prompted to report source, species,
strain, sex, etc. Recently, I was reading
up on the relationship of cholesterol level and statin (lipid-lowering agent) and
Alzheimer disease for my biochemistry class, and the correlation is unclear
because of inconsistent data; some studies found beneficial effects while
others found no correlation at all. The
issue, according to a Neurological Review’s
“Cholesterol Level and Statin Use in Alzheimer Disease” article, is that
different studies used statins with non-identical brain-blood barrier
permeability, analyzed the effects of different types of cholesterol, and studied
patients with different Alzheimer disease severity. Such inconsistencies due to vague
specifications would lead to irreproducibility, as it has.
Improving
reproducibility of original papers is crucial to the scientific community
because, according to Nature, in
academia the pressures to publish and access funds “provide little
incentive to pursue studies and publish results that contradict or confirm
previous papers”. In other words, scientists
aren’t crosschecking other scientists work because it’s rarely “welcome[d] from
journals and funders, even as money and effort are wasted on false assumptions.” Raising the standards of publication is one
step in ensuring public trust in science.Sources:
http://blogs.scientificamerican.com/guest-blog/2013/12/04/the-replication-myth-shedding-light-on-one-of-sciences-dirty-little-secrets/
http://www.nature.com/news/announcement-reducing-our-irreproducibility-1.12852
http://www.nature.com/news/journals-unite-for-reproducibility-1.16259
Cholesterol Level and Statin Use in Alzheimer Disease. II. Review of Human Trials and Recommendations.
Neurological Review. Nina E. Shepardson, MS; Ganesh M.
Shankar, MD, PhD; Dennis J. Selkoe, M. 2011
Why
Most Published Research FindingsAre False.
Plos Medicine. John
P. A. loannidis. 2005
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