Standard of Baseball Scouting
Professional
baseball has been played for over 150 years. In all facets of the game, baseball
is covered with tradition. But who isn’t
aware of this, its “America’s pastime!” There’s nothing more wholesome than
going to the ballpark with your family! Just like your parents did and your
grandparents! It’s a culture that prides itself on being a constant
throughout time.
But despite all the fanfare and nostalgia, something we have to remember…Baseball organizations are
a business. So a logical person would assume that the business would have an extremely
sophisticated way of obtaining the best talent in the world (the whole crux of
their business model). Well guess what logical guesser! The standard for talent
scouting is almost exactly the same in present day as it was in baseball’s
inception. There is nothing sophisticated about it in any way (until the early 2000's..but Ill get to that).
The sport is bogged down in archaic forms of scouting based solely
on word of mouth, intuition, and opinionated guesswork. A typical baseball
scout will go watch a player and will rate them on a multitude of abilities
that they (in all of their professional wisdom) perceive. The standard grading
scale is from 2-8. A 5 is the typical “Major League” ability and an 8 means
they should probably just go to the Hall Of Fame right now.
This is a typical sheet a scout uses
When organizations
go about selecting players to offer contracts to, they basically take a bunch
of these reports and disseminate who they believe has the most likelihood of
being a successful baseball player. Many times it is obvious to any person who
follows baseball when a player has exceptional talent. But how often can bold
face guess work and intuition be the best way to go about investing hundreds of millions of dollars in talent?
It took
until 2001 for a General Manager (A GM is the person who has the most authority over
scouting and player acquisition) in Major League Baseball to think “HEY! Maybe
there is a more sophisticated and reliable way we can invest our billions!”
That man was Billy Bean, GM of the Oakland Athletics. Some of you may be
familiar with the movie Moneyball in which
he is the main character.* Bean decided that since his team was one of the
worst in baseball (and by far the most poor) to screw tradition and scout
players with a new standard! He wanted to find the value that everybody else
was missing with this archaic form of talent scouting. So what he applied is a
form of scouting now called SABRMetrics (or Moneyball for short).
Money ball
is all centered on vast amounts of data collection and a computer. Instead of
valuing a player by guestimating his potential, he used computer models to disseminate
which players were the safest
investments, much like an investor on Wall St. would do. In his first year
applying this new scheme the Oakland Athletics set an MLB record for most
consecutive wins. Thus a new standard was born. The Boston Red Sox applied
Moneyball theories starting the next season, and by 2004 they had won the World
Series. This all but proved that Moneyball is the new standard to scout player
talent. Today almost every organization has adopted their own form of Moneyball
strategies to their clubs. While nobody would venture to say it is the pure
standard at which every organization develops talent, it is unmistakable the
affect it has had on scouting (as well as baseball as a whole) and has no doubt
shifted the standards to a much more data centered source.
*This novel and movie are based on a true story, and if you
are interested at all by this idea then you should check them both out. They do
a much more detailed and entertaining job of describing this intriguing story
and the movie was nominated for a litany of Oscars so you know it’s good. It also
has Brad Pitt in it.
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